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How to Read the US Polls

While major issues like inflation, crime, and abortion have attracted the most attention so far in the US midterm campaign season, voters’ concerns about the fate of democracy perhaps should not be underestimated. Whatever the polls say, the outcome is far from predictable.

WASHINGTON, DC – Whenever I read polls about a forthcoming US election, the 1980 election in which Ronald Reagan and the Republicans swept the board and changed the country springs to mind. But that vote didn’t break the Republicans’ way until the final weekend before election day.

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