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Will Trump Destroy the Dollar’s Primacy?

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PS editors, Jeffrey Frankel, Jim O'Neill, Dambisa Moyo, Michael R. Strain

Within its first two months, President Donald Trump’s second administration has attacked US institutions, alienated trade partners and allies, decimated consumer and investor confidence, and sent the stock market plummeting. Can the dollar’s status as the world’s leading reserve currency – and the extraordinary advantages this affords the US economy – withstand the onslaught?

  1. goldberg32_Spencer PlattGetty Images_USshipping Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Trump’s Trade War

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    PS editors , Ian Bremmer , Aziz Huq , Dani Rodrik , Gabriel Zucman , Kenneth Jacobs , Raghuram G. Rajan , Carla Norrlöf

    Less than two months into his second presidency, Donald Trump has imposed sweeping tariffs on America’s three largest trading partners, with much more to come. This strategy not only lacks any credible theoretical foundations; it is putting the US on a path toward irrevocable economic and geopolitical decline.

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    Saving Ukraine

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    PS editors , Carl Bildt , Sławomir Sierakowski , Andrew Kosenko , Joseph E. Stiglitz , Harold James , Nicu Popescu , Anastassia Fedyk , Emilia Marshall

    By choosing to side with the aggressor in the Ukraine war, President Donald Trump’s administration has effectively driven the final nail into the coffin of US global leadership. Unless Europe fills the void – first and foremost by supporting Ukraine – it faces the prospect of more chaos and conflict in the years to come.

  3. bp munich security conference Photo by Johannes Simon/Getty Images

    America’s Stab in the Back

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    PS editors , Tobias Bunde , Joschka Fischer , Philippe Legrain , Daniela Schwarzer , Sławomir Sierakowski , Mark Leonard , Friedrich Merz

    “There’s a new sheriff in town,” declared US Vice President J.D. Vance at this year’s Munich Security Conference. With his boss, “Sheriff” Donald Trump, openly disparaging America’s longstanding security commitments and actively undermining European security, the United States can no longer be trusted, and it is up to Europe’s leaders to bolster the continent’s defense capacity – and fast.

  4. oneill128in McNameeGetty Images_trump Win McNamee/Getty Images

    There Goes America

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    PS editors , Richard K. Sherwin , J. Bradford DeLong , Ian Buruma , Orville Schell , Peter Singer

    Within his first month back in the White House, Donald Trump has upended US foreign policy and launched an all-out assault on the country’s constitutional order. With US institutions bowing or buckling as the administration takes executive power to unprecedented extremes, the establishment of an authoritarian regime cannot be ruled out.

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    Why Does DeepSeek Matter?

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    PS editors , Daron Acemoglu , Charles Ferguson , Angela Huyue Zhang , Amar Bhidé

    Chinese tech startup DeepSeek’s release of a high-performance, low-cost artificial-intelligence platform has roiled financial markets and raised fundamental questions about the business models of American AI giants. Will the technology turn out to be a boon for competition in a critical industry, or should it be viewed as a geopolitical shot across the West’s bow?

  7. bp oligarchy Photo by JULIA DEMAREE NIKHINSON/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

    Oligarchy in America

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    PS editors , Daron Acemoglu , J. Bradford DeLong , Joseph E. Stiglitz , Katharina Pistor

    Though Donald Trump attracted more support than ever from working-class voters in the 2024 US presidential election, he has long embraced an agenda that benefits the wealthiest Americans above all. During his second term, however, Trump seems committed not just to serving America’s ultra-rich, but to letting them wield state power themselves.

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    Can US Institutions Withstand Trump 2.0?

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    Daron Acemoglu , Bruce Ackerman , Aziz Huq , Alison L. LaCroix , Richard K. Sherwin

    While some observers doubt that US President-elect Donald Trump poses a grave threat to US democracy, others are bracing themselves for the destruction of the country’s constitutional order. With Trump’s inauguration just around the corner, we asked PS commentators how vulnerable US institutions really are.

  9. stiglitz343_ChipSomodevillaGettyImages_trump_goofy Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

    What Will Trump Do to the US Economy?

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    PS editors , Joseph E. Stiglitz , Kenneth Rogoff , Sylvester Eijffinger , Edin Mujagic , Nouriel Roubini , Simon Johnson

    From cutting taxes to raising tariffs to eroding central-bank independence, US President-elect Donald Trump has made a wide range of economic promises, many of which threaten to blow up the deficit and fuel inflation. But powerful institutional, political, and economic constraints, together with Trump’s capriciousness, have spurred disagreement about how worried we should be.

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    Will Trumponomics Bring Boom or Bust in 2025?

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    J. Bradford DeLong , Maurice Obstfeld , Tara Pincock , Michael R. Strain

    Many Americans voted for Donald Trump last month in the hopes that the dealmaker-president would usher in a period of economic renewal that would lift businesses and workers alike. But the merits of Trump’s likely policies remain hotly debated, and his capriciousness only adds to the uncertainty. With his inauguration approaching fast, we asked PS commentators what they are watching for.

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    Did Neoliberalism Kill American Democracy?

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    PS editors , Joseph E. Stiglitz , Andrés Velasco , Daron Acemoglu , Christy Hoffman , Bartosz M. Rydliński , Katharina Pistor

    As US President-elect Donald Trump prepares to make good on his threats to upend American institutions, the pressure is on his opponents to figure out how to defend, and eventually strengthen, US democracy. But first they must understand how the United States reached this point.

  12. BP trump china MARK RALSTON/AFP via Getty Images

    What Will Trump Do About China?

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    PS editors , Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg , Ian Bremmer , Todd G. Buchholz , Angela Huyue Zhang , Brahma Chellaney , Brendan Kelly

    US President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on a promise to take a confrontational approach to China, with tariffs as his weapon of choice. But unless his administration adopts a measured approach, his plans may end up harming American businesses and consumers, undermining US democracy, or even leading to military confrontation.

  13. bp how trump won Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images

    How Trump Did It

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    PS editors , Mohamed A. El-Erian , Shlomo Ben-Ami , Daron Acemoglu , James K. Galbraith , Peter Singer , J. Bradford DeLong , Nina L. Khrushcheva , Jason Stanley

    Not only did Donald Trump win last week’s US presidential election decisively – winning some three million more votes than his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris – but the Republican Party he now controls gained majorities in both houses on Congress. Given the far-reaching implications of this result – for both US democracy and global stability – understanding how it came about is essential.

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