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Robert J. Shiller

Robert J. Shiller

131 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Robert J. Shiller, a 2013 Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at Yale University and Co-creator of the Case-Shiller Index of US house prices. He is the author of Irrational Exuberance, Phishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception (with George Akerlof), and Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events.

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  1. The AI Age Requires Inequality Insurance
    iayres1_arhui1979Getty Images_wealthinequality arhui1979/Getty Images

    The AI Age Requires Inequality Insurance

    Dec 27, 2023 Ian Ayres, et al. propose automatically increasing tax rates for the top 1% to mitigate the impact of automation on workers.

  2. Should You Buy a Home in the US?
    shiller130_Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_house market Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images

    Should You Buy a Home in the US?

    Oct 25, 2021 Robert J. Shiller emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in today’s elevated housing market.

  3. Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices
    shiller129_bluebay2014_getty Images_economics arrow bluebay2014_Getty Images

    Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices

    Nov 30, 2020 Robert J. Shiller, et al. explain why soaring equity valuations in five world regions may not be as absurd as many people think.

  4. Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market
    shiller128_Drew AngererGetty Images_NYSEUSstockmarket Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market

    Jul 7, 2020 Robert J. Shiller explains why US equity prices remain afloat when cratering demand is dragging down investment and employment.

  5. The Two Pandemics
    shiller127_Artit AungpraphapornchaiGetty Images_coronavirusgraphrecession Artit Aungpraphapornchai/Getty Images

    The Two Pandemics

    Mar 31, 2020 Robert J. Shiller shows how the financial contagion triggered by the COVID-19 crisis has taken on a life of its own.

  1. przybylski2_Alexander KoernerGetty Images_germanyarmy Alexander Koerner/Getty Images
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    Europe’s Democrats Must Forge a Will to Fight

    Wojciech Przybylski & Goran Buldioski think European leaders' most urgent security task is to nurture citizens' resolve to defend their countries.
  2. mazzucato81_Tomas CuestaGetty Images_javiermileichainsaw Tomas Cuesta/Getty Images
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    Governments Are Not Startups

    Mariana Mazzucato & Rainer Kattel

    By trying to running the state like a private business, Elon Musk and other anti-government types are creating a mess that someone else will have to clean up. Governments and businesses serve vastly different purposes, answer to different constituencies, and operate on entirely different timelines.

     explain why ongoing efforts to run the state like a business are doomed to fail.
  3. jkerry2_Ozgun TiranAnadoluGettyImages_black_sea Ozgun Tiran/Anadolu/Getty Images
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    Dumping Biomass in the Ocean Is Not a Climate Solution

    James Kerry & Lisa Levin warn against the commercialization of unproven climate interventions like one targeting the Black Sea.
  4. eichengreen202_ Stefan Wermuth - WPA PoolGetty Images_churchillsterling Stefan Wermuth/WPA/Pool/Getty Images
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    Sterling’s Past and the Dollar’s Future

    Barry Eichengreen

    US President Donald Trump says he wants to preserve the dollar's international role as a reserve and payment currency. If that's true, the history of pound sterling suggests he should be promoting financial stability, limiting the use of tariffs, and strengthening America's geopolitical alliances.

     applies three lessons from prewar Britain that the Trump administration appears determined to ignore.
  5. wei69_Alex WongGetty Images_trumptariffs Alex Wong/Getty Images
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    Trump’s Misguided Tariff Formula

    Shang-Jin Wei criticizes the US administration's crude calculations, which disregard textbook macroeconomic principles.
  6. chellaney186_SAI AUNG MAINSAI AUNG MAINAFP via Getty Images_myanmarearthquake Sai Aung Main/AFP via Getty Images
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    The US Must Change Course on Myanmar

    Brahma Chellaney outlines a policy approach that would promote stability, rather than perpetuating criminality and violence.
  7. fedyk10_Thierry MonasseGettyImages_ec_rearm_eu_annoucement Thierry Monasse/Getty Images
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    Europe Must Move Faster to Defend Itself

    Anastassia Fedyk, et al. outline four steps European leaders can take to accelerate rearmament and mitigate the Russian threat.
  8. guzman19_Tomas CuestaGetty Images_milei Tomas Cuesta/Getty Images
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    Will the IMF Get Played by Javier Milei?

    Martín Guzmán worries that the Fund will damage its credibility by issuing another politically motivated loan to Argentina.
  9. velasco158_Spencer PlattGetty Images_rustbelt Spencer Platt/Getty Images
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    There Is No Method to Trump’s Tariff Madness

    Andrés Velasco sees no merit in any of the rationales the White House has advanced for launching a global trade war.

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