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Robert J. Shiller

Robert J. Shiller

Writing for PS since 2003
130 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Robert J. Shiller, a 2013 Nobel laureate in economics, is Professor of Economics at Yale University and the co-creator of the Case-Shiller Index of US house prices. He is the author of Irrational ExuberancePhishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception (with George Akerlof), and Narrative Economics: How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events.

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  1. Should You Buy a Home in the US?
    shiller130_Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_house market Jeffrey GreenbergUniversal Images Group via Getty Images

    Should You Buy a Home in the US?

    Oct 25, 2021 Robert J. Shiller emphasizes the importance of long-term thinking in today’s elevated housing market.

  2. Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices
    shiller129_bluebay2014_getty Images_economics arrow bluebay2014_Getty Images

    Making Sense of Sky-High Stock Prices

    Nov 30, 2020 Robert J. Shiller, et al. explain why soaring equity valuations in five world regions may not be as absurd as many people think.

  3. Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market
    shiller128_Drew AngererGetty Images_NYSEUSstockmarket Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Understanding the Pandemic Stock Market

    Jul 7, 2020 Robert J. Shiller explains why US equity prices remain afloat when cratering demand is dragging down investment and employment.

  4. The Two Pandemics
    shiller127_Artit AungpraphapornchaiGetty Images_coronavirusgraphrecession Artit Aungpraphapornchai/Getty Images

    The Two Pandemics

    Mar 31, 2020 Robert J. Shiller shows how the financial contagion triggered by the COVID-19 crisis has taken on a life of its own.

  5. The Trump Narrative and the Next Recession
    shiller126_ANDREW HARNIKAFPGetty Images_trump g7 summit Andrew Harnik/AFP/Getty Images

    The Trump Narrative and the Next Recession

    Aug 30, 2019 Robert J. Shiller thinks an economic downturn could upend a public story that has persisted and grown for nearly 50 years.

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  1. neier64_ALEXANDER NEMENOVAFP via Getty Images_putinbrezhnev Alexander Nemenov/AFP via Getty Images

    Putin’s Brezhnev Moment

    Aryeh Neier draws parallels between the regime’s ongoing crackdown on civil society and late Soviet repression.
  2. delong249_guoyaGetty Images_economicpie guoya/Getty Images

    Utopia or Bust

    J. Bradford DeLong considers our options for both expanding and effectively slicing the proverbial economic pie.
  3. op_anheier13_CHRISTOF STACHEAFP via Getty Images_scholzbaerbockhabecklindner Christof Stache/AFP via Getty Images

    Germany’s Reckoning

    Helmut K. Anheier

    Germany is now grappling with a host of difficult questions about its place in the world, the nature of its politics, and its most cherished values. For a pacifist society in a new age of conflict and war, everything must change if things are to remain the same.

    traces the contours of the country's debate, triggered by the Ukraine war, about its strategic future.
  4. coyle29_ Frank Rumpenhorstpicture alliance via Getty Images_chatgpt Frank Rumpenhorst/picture alliance via Getty Images

    Preempting a Generative AI Monopoly

    Diane Coyle urges policymakers to take steps to counter the anti-competitive implications of a rapidly emerging market.
  5. nye238_Kevin DietschGetty Images_biden kishida Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

    Japan’s Strategic Imperative

    Joseph S. Nye, Jr. sees the country doubling down on its best option for ensuring national security and regional stability.
  6. zhang59_JADE GAOAFP via Getty Images_chinahousing Jade Gao/AFP via Getty Images

    China’s Savings Conundrum

    Zhang Jun explains why – and how – the country must stimulate household consumption to achieve a robust recovery.
  7. BP inflation hawks China News Service / Contributor via Getty Images

    The Flight of the Inflation Hawks

    Though the US Federal Reserve’s first interest-rate hike of 2023 is smaller than those that preceded it, policymakers have signaled that more increases are on the way, despite slowing price growth. But there is good reason to doubt the utility – and fear the consequences – of continued rate hikes, on both sides of the Atlantic.

  8. boly1_Giovanni MereghettiUCGUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_agriculture rwanda Giovanni Mereghetti/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    How to Transform African Agriculture

    Safia Boly & Omid Kassiri identify four principles that could help governments across the continent boost food security.
  9. borrell19_ FADEL SENNAAFP via Getty Images_ukrainewar Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images

    Making Ukrainian Victory Possible

    Josep Borrell explains why continued military support and other forms of assistance remain critical.

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