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Robert J. Barro

Robert J. Barro

13 commentaries

Robert J. Barro, Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is a non-resident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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  1. Understanding Recent US Inflation
    barro12_STEFANI REYNOLDSAFP via Getty Images_inflation STEFANI REYNOLDS/AFP via Getty Images

    Understanding Recent US Inflation

    Aug 30, 2022 Robert J. Barro sees the fiscal-policy response to the COVID recession as the main factor fueling faster price growth.

  2. Yes, the US Economy Is Likely in Recession
    barro11_Michael NagleXinhua via Getty Images_USstockmarketrecession Michael Nagle/Xinhua via Getty Images

    Yes, the US Economy Is Likely in Recession

    Aug 1, 2022 Robert J. Barro shows that two consecutive quarters of negative US growth have almost always preceded an official downturn designation.

  3. Big State Inflation
    barro10 Getty Images

    Big State Inflation

    Dec 4, 2021 Robert J. Barro worries that US monetary and fiscal policy is running off the rails and theatening future growth.

  4. An Interview with Robert J. Barro
    David Ricardo Economics for many decades has been dominated by journal articles, rather than books. But there are a few classics that are undoubtedly worth reading. Beyond the aforementioned Smith and Weber, this 1817 book by Ricardo is effectively the first work on macroeconomics, and thus essential reading.

    An Interview with Robert J. Barro

    Apr 20, 2021 Robert J. Barro warns that the anchor of long-term inflation expectations is being pulled up, advises the US on how to deal with China, and critiques Joe Biden’s proposed infrastructure package.

  5. Pulling Up the Inflation Anchor
    barro8_Win McNameeGetty Images_volcker Win McNamee/Getty Images

    Pulling Up the Inflation Anchor

    Feb 25, 2021 Robert J. Barro worries that reckless policies could undo decades of hard-won gains by monetary policymakers.

  1. mueller40_Jim Lo Scalzo-PoolGetty Images_bolsonaro trump Jim Lo Scalzo-Pool/Getty Images

    Why Populists Don’t Concede

    Jan-Werner Mueller

    With election denial becoming a new global trend, it is necessary to ask why so many citizens would accept leaders who fraudulently cry “fraud.” Even when they leave power quietly, populist politicians have exploited political polarization and indoctrinated their supporters never to trust the system.

    explains the political logic of fraudulently crying “fraud” in response to an electoral loss.
  2. ito19_ RICHARD A. BROOKSAFP via Getty Images_boj yen depreciation RICHARD A. BROOKS/AFP via Getty Images

    The Challenge of Monetary Tightening

    Takatoshi Ito identifies the main risks raised by central banks’ efforts to rein in inflation.
  3. wagner12_ ArterraUniversal Images Group via Getty Images_melting polar ice Arterra/Universal Images Group via Getty Images

    The High Stakes of Climate-Risk Accounting

    Gernot Wagner & Tom Brookes show why economists can no longer ignore the need for a far more comprehensive set of welfare indicators.
  4. elerian151_ Scott OlsonGetty Images_inflation Scott Olson/Getty Images

    The Cost of the Fed’s Challenged Credibility

    Mohamed A. El-Erian interprets the latest market tumult as the price of delaying monetary-policy tightening for too long.
  5. roach143_Drew AngererGetty Images_jerome powell Drew Angerer/Getty Images

    Core Dangers for the Fed and China

    Stephen S. Roach

    Just as a fixation on core inflation can mislead central banks, as it has done with the US Federal Reserve, the power of a “core leader” like China’s Xi Jinping is a recipe for misdirected and ultimately unsustainable policy regimes. The very notion of a core adds a false sense of precision when addressing complex problems.

    thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders.
  6. haldar13_Jens Büttnerpicture alliance via Getty Images Jens Büttner/picture alliance via Getty Images

    Amazon’s Satanic Mills

    Antara Haldar sees recent unionization efforts as a welcome response to an unethical and inhumane business model.
  7. asadullah12_SAEED KHANAFP via Getty Images_malaysia migration SAEED KHAN/AFP via Getty Images

    Asia’s Captive Market for Migrant Labor

    M. Niaz Asadullah highlights how an entrenched alliance of politicians, bureaucrats, and business elites is exploiting workers.
  8. sheng129_ROSLAN RAHMANAFP via Getty Images_asean cooperation ROSLAN RAHMAN/AFP via Getty Images

    In Search of a Development Plan for Asia

    Andrew Sheng & Xiao Geng argue that bottom-up institutions – not top-down strategies – are the key to regional integration.
  9. emmott_Antonio MasielloGetty Images_meloni Antonio Masiello/Getty Images

    Giorgia Meloni’s Moment

    Bill Emmott sees little difference between the Brothers of Italy’s program and that of recent right-wing governments.

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