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Ernesto Talvi

Ernesto Talvi

6 commentaries

Ernesto Talvi, a former minister of foreign affairs of Uruguay, is a senior fellow at Real Instituto Elcano in Madrid.

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  1. Will the Fed Strangle Latin America Again?
    talvi7_FEDERICO PARRAAFP via Getty Images_latin america debt FEDERICO PARRA/AFP via Getty Images

    Will the Fed Strangle Latin America Again?

    Sep 15, 2022 Ernesto Talvi explains why rising US interest rates will not cause another “lost decade” for the region.

  2. What’s Behind Latin America’s Jobless Recovery?
    Mexico workers SOPA Images/Getty Images

    What’s Behind Latin America’s Jobless Recovery?

    Oct 31, 2017 Ernesto Talvi says most theories cannot explain why unemployment remains high despite a modest uptick in growth.

  3. Understanding Latin America’s New Political Paradigm
    talvi5_Juan Barreto_AFP_Getty Images_chavez Juan Barreto/AFP/Getty Images

    Understanding Latin America’s New Political Paradigm

    Oct 29, 2016 Ernesto Talvi says that the nature of the region's governments directly reflects four decades of booms and busts.

  4. IMF Therapy for Brazil
    Flag of Brazil

    IMF Therapy for Brazil

    Dec 11, 2015 Monica de Bolle & Ernesto Talvi argue that the country has little choice but to negotiate an adjustment program.

  5. A New Trans-American Partnership
    shipping container David Wallace/Flickr

    A New Trans-American Partnership

    Sep 9, 2014 Ernesto Talvi calls for renewed cooperation, beginning with trade, between North and South America.

  1. muzikarova8_NurPhotoGettyImages_chip_manufacturing NurPhoto/Getty Images

    America’s AI Iron Curtain

    Soňa Muzikárová explains how US export controls are harming allies and potentially helping Russia and China.
  2. hubbard5_SpencerPlattGettyImages_bessent_economic_club_of_new_york Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    What Rebalancing the US Economy Really Requires

    Glenn Hubbard

    US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s defense of President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs as a step toward “rebalancing” the US economy misses the point. While some economies, like China and Germany, need to increase domestic spending, the US needs to increase national saving.

    thinks US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is neglecting the need for spending cuts in major federal programs.
  3. rasoolayub1_Alex WongGettyImages_voa_building Alex Wong/Getty Images

    America’s Voice No Longer Speaks for Democracy

    Heela Rasool-Ayub explains why authoritarians worldwide are celebrating Donald Trump’s renunciation of democratic advocacy.
  4. durostu1_Apu GomesGetty Images_LAfire Apu Gomes/Getty Images

    Insurers Must Embrace Geospatial AI

    Pierre du Rostu touts the technology’s benefits for an industry that must shift its focus from paying claims to managing risk.
  5. gelfand4_Andrew HarnikGettyImages_trump_gesture Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
    Free to read

    It’s Time to Abandon Trump’s Flawed Negotiation Playbook

    Michele Gelfand points out that the best dealmakers strive for win-win outcomes, not zero-sum Pyrrhic victories.
  6. bajraktari3_NICOLAS TUCATAFP via Getty Images_fusionreactor Nicolas Tucat/AFP via Getty Images

    America’s Last Chance to Lead in Fusion Energy

    Ylli Bajraktari warns that China's domination of the sector would give it massive economic and geopolitical leverage.
  7. rogoff260_ STRAFP via Getty Images_chinarealestate STR/AFP via Getty Images

    China Can’t Spend Its Way Out of Trouble

    Kenneth Rogoff

    China’s prolonged reliance on fiscal stimulus has distorted economic incentives, fueling a housing glut, a collapse in prices, and spiraling public debt. With further stimulus off the table, the only sustainable path is for the central government to relinquish more economic power to local governments and the private sector.

    argues that the country’s problems can be traced back to its response to the 2008 financial crisis.
  8. mohieldin33_Xie EXinhuaGettyImages_guterres_debt_report Xie E/Xinhua/Getty Images

    This UN Debt Initiative Is Different

    Mahmoud Mohieldin, et al. tout an Expert Group’s efforts to prevent a full-blown solvency crisis in developing countries.
  9. fbirol4_UCGGettyImages_south_africa_power_grid UCG/Getty Images

    What African Electrification Requires

    Fatih Birol & Alain Ebobissé highlight the need for greater private-sector participation to boost investments in power grids.

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