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Stephen S. Roach

Stephen S. Roach

Writing for PS since 2011
173 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Stephen S. Roach, a faculty member at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, is the author of Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China (Yale University Press, 2014) and Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives (Yale University Press, 2022).

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  1. Trump’s Trade Scam
    roach174_Christopher FurlongGetty Images_trump Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    Trump’s Trade Scam

    Jan 24, 2025 Stephen S. Roach points out that the new “External Revenue Service” would target domestic importers, not foreign producers.

  2. China’s Struggles with a Consumer Society
    roach173_CFOTOFuture Publishing via Getty Images_chinashopping C FOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images

    China’s Struggles with a Consumer Society

    Dec 19, 2024 Stephen S. Roach wonders whether the country’s political system is at odds with the values underpinning affluent societies.

  3. Asia in Denial
    roach172_Anthony KwanGetty Images_asia economy Anthony Kwan/Getty Images

    Asia in Denial

    Nov 26, 2024 Stephen S. Roach warns of misguided optimism about the state of China’s economy and Donald Trump’s tariff agenda.

  4. Sinophobia and US Election Lies
    roach171_David McNewStringerGettyImages_antichina_trump_supporter David McNew/Stringer/Getty Images

    Sinophobia and US Election Lies

    Oct 28, 2024 Stephen S. Roach laments that facts – especially about China – are in short supply as the presidential race tightens.

  5. China Is Missing in America’s Election Debate
    op_nathan1_ GREG BAKERAFP via Getty Images_china uighur Greg Baker/AFP via Getty Images

    China Is Missing in America’s Election Debate

    Sep 25, 2024 Stephen S. Roach laments the US presidential candidates’ unwillingness to discuss constructive solutions to tough problems.

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  1. tbunde7_Johannes SimonGetty Images_vance Johannes Simon/Getty Images
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    A Westless World

    Tobias Bunde reflects on this year's Munich Security Conference and America's break from the transatlantic alliance.
  2. broning14_Maja HitijGetty Images_merz Maja Hitij/Getty Images
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    Germany’s Last-Chance Election

    Michael Bröning

    With German voters clearly demanding comprehensive change, the far right has been capitalizing on the public's discontent and benefiting from broader global political trends. If the country's democratic parties cannot deliver, they may soon find that they are no longer the mainstream.

     explains why the outcome may decide whether the political “firewall” against the far right can hold.
  3. popescu6_ZinchenkoGlobal Images Ukraine via Getty Images)_ukrainepeace Zinchenko/Global Images Ukraine via Getty Images
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    The Only Path to Genuine Peace in Ukraine

    Nicu Popescu

    The Russian and (now) American vision of "peace" in Ukraine would be no peace at all. The immediate task for Europe is not only to navigate Donald’s Trump unilateral pursuit of a settlement, but also to ensure that any deal does not increase the likelihood of an even wider war.

     sees a Korea-style armistice with security guarantees as the only viable option in Ukraine.
  4. asakawa3_PoolGettyImages_hindu_kush_glacial_melt Pool/Getty Images
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    Meltdown at the Top of the World

    Masatsugu Asakawa urges development banks to act urgently to avert the catastrophic effects of the Himalayas’ thawing glaciers.
  5. frieda19_AnadoluGettyImages_russia_us_peace_talks Anadolu/Getty Images
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    The Economic Consequences of Trump’s Ukrainian Peace

    Gene Frieda

    Rather than engage in lengthy discussions to pry concessions from Russia, US President Donald Trump seems committed to giving the Kremlin whatever it wants to end the Ukraine war. But rewarding the aggressor and punishing the victim would amount to setting the stage for the next war.

     warns that by punishing the victim, the US is setting up Europe for another war.
  6. oneill128in McNameeGetty Images_trump Win McNamee/Getty Images
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    There Goes America

    Within his first month back in the White House, Donald Trump has upended US foreign policy and launched an all-out assault on the country’s constitutional order. With US institutions bowing or buckling as the administration takes executive power to unprecedented extremes, the establishment of an authoritarian regime cannot be ruled out.

  7. op_janeway18_DrAfter123Getty Images_AI DrAfter123/Getty Images
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    In AI We Trust?

    William H. Janeway

    The rapid advance of AI might create the illusion that we have created a form of algorithmic intelligence capable of understanding us as deeply as we understand one another. But these systems will always lack the essential qualities of human intelligence.

     explains why even cutting-edge innovations are not immune to the world’s inherent unpredictability.
  8. strain36_Michael M. SantiagoGettyImages_ny_stock_exchange Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images
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    How Trump Can Achieve Sustained Growth

    Michael R. Strain foresees the US president building on a strong economy, so long as he steers clear of populist policies.
  9. schwarzer9_Telmo PintoSOPA ImagesLightRocket via Getty Images_macronstarmer Telmo Pinto/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
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    Europe Alone

    Daniela Schwarzer explains what the European Union must do now that America has walked away from the transatlantic relationship.

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