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Stephen S. Roach

Stephen S. Roach

Writing for PS since 2011
167 commentaries
1 videos & podcasts

Stephen S. Roach, a faculty member at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, is the author of Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China (Yale University Press, 2014) and Accidental Conflict: America, China, and the Clash of False Narratives (Yale University Press, 2022).

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  1. Don’t Be Fooled by China’s Third Plenum
    roach168_Lintao ZhangGetty Images_xijinping Lintao Zhang/Getty Images

    Don’t Be Fooled by China’s Third Plenum

    Jul 10, 2024 Stephen S. Roach reminds Western observers that the Chinese government's real priorities are very different from their own.

  2. The Defining Economic Issue of the US Election
    roach167_Mario TamaGetty Images_bidenprices Mario Tama/Getty Images

    The Defining Economic Issue of the US Election

    Jun 24, 2024 Stephen S. Roach argues that the high price level, not inflation, is weighing on voters ahead of the presidential election.

  3. The Dangerous Incoherence of US Trade Policy
    roach166_Kevin DietschGetty Images)_shipping Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

    The Dangerous Incoherence of US Trade Policy

    May 28, 2024 Stephen S. Roach warns that America’s latest tariffs against China raise the risk of a catastrophic superpower conflict.

  4. China’s Rebalancing Imperative
    op_roach3_ Kevin FrayerGetty Images_china lagging consumption Kevin Frayer/Getty Images

    China’s Rebalancing Imperative

    Apr 19, 2024 Stephen S. Roach explains why the Chinese authorities should switch to a consumption- and productivity-led growth model.

  5. China Stifles Its Own Debate
    roach164_PEDRO PARDOPEDRO PARDOPOOLAFP via Getty Images_china development forum PEDRO PARDO/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

    China Stifles Its Own Debate

    Apr 12, 2024 Stephen S. Roach bemoans the transformation of the country’s most important platform for open dialogue into a schmooze-fest.

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  1. adebajo8KOLA SULAIMONAFP via Getty Images_tinubu KOLA SULAIMON/AFP via Getty Images

    Africa’s Hobbled Hegemons

    Adekeye Adebajo

    In the face of regional turmoil, rising extremism, and heightened geopolitical tensions, Africa urgently needs strong leadership. But its two most significant regional powers, Nigeria and South Africa, are too constrained by domestic challenges to represent Africa’s interests effectively on the world stage.

    examines the causes of political and economic malaise in Nigeria and South Africa.
  2. ltobin2_Brett CoomerHouston Chronicle via Getty Images_USmanufacturingrobot Brett Coomer/Houston Chronicle via Getty Images

    The US Needs a Techno-Industrial Strategy

    Liza Tobin & Addis Goldman outline a three-pronged approach that would entrench American leadership in advanced industries.
  3. strain29_ Bonnie CashGetty Images_powell Bonnie Cash/Getty Images

    The Fed Should Not Cut Interest Rates Yet

    Michael R. Strain argues that declaring victory over inflation, while tempting, would be to misread current economic conditions.
  4. guinto3_TED ALJIBEAFP via Getty Images_heat wave TED ALJIBE/AFP via Getty Images

    Preparing for a Future of Extreme Heat Waves

    Renzo R. Guinto urges political leaders to place resilience at the heart of housing, transport, and water policies.
  5. benami215_IBRAHIM HAMSAFP via Getty Images_gazawar Ibrahim Hams/AFP via Getty Images

    Israel Is Enabling Iran’s War of Attrition

    Shlomo Ben-Ami thinks that Binyamin Netanyahu and his messianic allies are hastening the destruction of the Jewish state.
  6. rogoff216_ SAUL LOEBAFP via Getty Images_imf Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images

    Unlocking IMF Reform

    Barry Eichengreen

    Sketching a reform agenda for the International Monetary Fund is easy; implementing reform is hard. It will require, among other things, the US to give up its veto in the institution, and China to assume more responsibility for global stability and the problems of other economies.

    writes that the key is a governance overhaul combined with a renewed focus on the Fund’s core mission.
  7. pincus1_robal RashidLightRocket via Getty Images trump robal Rashid/LightRocket via Getty Images

    The King of the Americans

    Steve Pincus observes that the US Supreme Court has given the president powers denied to English monarchs since James II.
  8. wei63_Spencer PlattGetty Images_trumpassassination Spencer Platt/Getty Images

    Will Trump Benefit from the Attempt on His Life?

    Shang-Jin Wei draws parallels between the attack on Trump and the incident that swayed the 2004 Taiwanese election.
  9. guajajara1_ Craig StennettGetty Images_brazil Craig Stennett/Getty Images

    Fighting Climate Change Requires a Different Mindset

    Sonia Guajajara thinks the rest of the world can learn a lot from how indigenous peoples relate to nature.

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