Despite the dire predictions that have accompanied the decline of global governance, less international cooperation does not necessarily mean disaster. In fact, national governments can prioritize domestic prosperity and social cohesion over multilateralism without harming the global economy.
explains how countries can help the global economy by pursuing their own economic-policy agendas.
Although Russia's war in Ukraine has galvanized Polish society and elevated the country's status internationally, it is also obscuring some deeply troubling domestic political developments. Whether liberal democracy will prevail over reactionary authoritarianism in Poland is now an open question.
about recent domestic and geopolitical developments that will shape the country's future.
香港 - 在今年的达沃斯世界经济论坛年会上,联合国秘书长安东尼奥·古特雷斯(Antonio Guterres)对当前国际秩序的困境做出了不同寻常的坦率评估。他说,世界“在许多方面都遭受了一个完美风暴的困扰”,“我们需要合作,但我们却面临分裂。”
实际上,这个完美风暴更像是一场海啸。其中,供应链中断、能源危机、生活成本危机、全球经济增长放缓,以及气候灾难,都至少在一定程度上源于中美之间的结构性裂痕。
如果古特雷斯指出的“大分裂”发生,世界将产生“两套不同的贸易规则、两种主导货币、两类互联网体系和两个相互冲突的人工智能战略”。这种“大分裂”的代价将是巨大的。世界GDP将萎缩1.5%,即每年损失超过1.4万亿美元;价格将几乎全面上涨;全球公共产品的供给将严重下降。
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