Politics

摧毁中共的纸牌屋

Oct 10, 2022 Minxin Pei

发自加州克莱蒙特——习近平几乎肯定会在本月召开的中共第二十次全国代表大会上连续第三次当选党总书记和中国国家主席，也将因此成为自毛泽东以来中国任职时间最长的最高领导人，而本应控制着中共政权的那些规则和规范则将被打破。

这些规则和规范主要是由毛泽东的继任者、1978年上台的邓小平制定的。邓小平亲身体会过党的意识形态狂热可能造成的破坏。在文化大革命期间他有一个儿子被狂躁的红卫兵打成瘫痪，本人也被撤职下放到一个偏远省份工厂里劳动了四年——在他漫长革命生涯中曾三度被打倒，这是其中之一。

为确保国家不再被这种恐怖所笼罩，邓小平——在其他经历过文革的老革命支持下——恢复了集体领导，并对大多数中共高级职位下达了年龄和任期限制。在随后几十年间中国最高领导人的任期全都不超过两届，政治局委员也都遵守着68岁的不成文退休上限。

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YL Yu Oct 16, 2022

As always, Pei's articles are music to the ears of the political class of the US and the West. He panders to them and expounds on hackneyed ideas which are outdated and out of touch with political reality. He would do well to learn to respect the fact that governments other than that of the US-West work well. He could also reflect on the adage: A good tree cannot bear bad fruit and a bad tree cannot bear good fruit. Governance is the yardstick by which government performance is measured. China's governance is way ahead of that of the US and its like-minded allies. His prediction that "Xi's confirmation this month is merely the breeze triggering its inevitable collapse" sounds familiar to Gordon Chang's forecast of 'imminent collapse of China', which has not yet materialized after a quarter of a century.
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Jose Antonio Vanderhorst Silverio Oct 10, 2022

Are their important things missing from that article? I will suggest three of them related to the over expansion of the Industrial Civilization well beyond its useful life. The Economics Profession is one of the key problematic institutions in that process.

1) Alvin Toffler’s The Third Wave. I understood that China was supposed to follow two-tracks: that of the Industrial Civilization (the Second Wave) and what I coined as the Systemic Civilization (the Third Wave). Then, I learned about the Bell and Road Initiative, which to me was a Second Wave project.

2) Michael Gorbachev speech at the United Nations was meant to end militarism in order to bring global peace. My understanding is that was supposed to end the Industrial Civilization. Now after the fact it is clear that the United Nations was not fit to the task. For that reason, the United Nations need a deep transformation to help emerge a decentralized global state, because sovereignty has become a big problem. Sovereignty was practical to end the conflicts involve the peace of the Treaties of Westphalia among European nations. Now the scope is beyond The West that embraced Westphalia.

3) The Arab Spring. A new scientific revolution — a scientific paradigm shift — is missing to go beyond the Industrial Civilization. The environment at large for Economics is that of The Wealth of Globalization.

PD. The above is just a tip of the iceberg of what has been emerging through me.
- Jose Antonio Vanderhorst Silverio Oct 11, 2022
  
  “The scientific revolution that enables #Iran political revolution must be that for #Earth4All ( https://gmh-upsa.medium.com/the-scientific-revolution-that-enables-iran-political-revolution-must-be-that-for-earth4all-4a9566721887 ).”
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