With a likely rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election, America and the rest of the world were heading into a perilous period even before the latest conflagration in the Middle East. Turmoil in the region will cloud the broader economic outlook – and could dim Biden’s chances.
worries global economic and political developments will put Donald Trump back in the White House.
It is hard to see anything good coming from the current spasm of violence between Israel and Hamas. But this tragedy, which has forced both Israelis and Palestinians to stare into the abyss, might prove to be a turning point that will clear the path for a lasting peace.
considers how the current conflagration might pave the way for a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Around the world, foreign-policy strategists are grappling with new international dynamics, from the Sino-American rivalry and ongoing hot wars to the broader breakdown in multilateral global governance. However, there is much debate about whether global power and alignments are truly shifting, and in what ways.
consider whether the world will become more multipolar or “non-aligned” in the new year.
莫斯科——弗拉基米尔·普京执政23年来,没有任何事态发展像瓦格纳集团于6月24日流产的兵变那样明确显示出其政权有多么脆弱。由叶夫根尼·普里戈任领导的瓦格纳雇佣兵集团公然挑战克里姆林宫的权威——而且,现在似乎已经逃脱了惩罚。俄罗斯国内安全局(FSB)已经放弃了对此次叛乱的刑事调查。但不能说普京的问题就随着瓦格纳兵变的结束而结束了。
没有普京核心圈层或军方的协助,普里戈任的士兵无法完成在不到一天时间内在俄罗斯领土上行进几乎1,000公里(合621英里)的任务。谣言认为,亿万富翁尤里和米哈伊尔·科瓦尔丘克兄弟可能起了一定作用。科瓦尔丘克兄弟是普京的亲密伙伴,据称与普里戈任持有相同的观点,即俄罗斯在与西方的战争及更大范围的对抗中表现得不够强硬。
另一个可能的合作者是谢尔盖·苏罗维金将军。据称,苏罗维金与普里戈任一样,主张打一场比国防部长谢尔盖·绍伊古似乎有意愿进行的残酷得多的战争。兵变后,他就没有公开露过面,据说正在“休息”中。
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