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gabriel4_Sergei-MalgavkoTASS-via-Getty-Images_russian-missile Sergei MalgavkoTASS via Getty Images

欧洲与新核军备竞赛

柏林—核军备控制的支柱之一在2月2日成为历史,美国给俄罗斯用来拯救1987年中程核武器(INF)条约的60天截止期在这一天到期。俄罗斯愉快地等到了这一天。但欧盟也在德国的怂恿下,心安理得地看着它到期。欧洲现在已经进入了一个潜在危险的时期,必须在核军备争论中扮演更加积极的角色。

中导条约禁止在欧洲部署中程核导弹。它的在所难免的废除让延期2021年到期的美俄新战略核裁军条约前景渺茫。而如果俄罗斯和美国之间无法达成核军备契约框架,国际 核武器不扩散条约也无法生存。

核不扩散取决于两大核超级大国约束自身核军备控制和核查的意愿。如果美国和俄罗斯转而发动核军备竞赛,小国也会跟进,因为它们相信,这样做才能让它们不受伤害。朝鲜和伊朗只是其中的两个例子。

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  1. solana114_FADEL SENNAAFP via Getty Images_libyaprotestflag Fadel Senna/AFP via Getty Images

    Relieving Libya’s Agony

    Javier Solana

    The credibility of all external actors in the Libyan conflict is now at stake. The main domestic players will lower their maximalist pretensions only when their foreign supporters do the same, ending hypocrisy once and for all and making a sincere effort to find room for consensus.

    1

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